The four types of sports betting: Traditional (value-driven), SGP (thrill-seeking), In-Game/Prediction (real-time), and DFS (strategic). Each targets unique user motivations.
Really thoughtful piece—this kind of segmentation is overdue and your framing around user motivation is sharp. One note I’d offer the “Traditional” market is actually two distinct categories in practice. The AI/ML syndicate space operates on entirely different timelines, inputs, and intents than the classic value bettor working CLV angles. Syndicates aren’t value-seeking—they’re exploiting inefficiencies at scale with programmatic execution, often influencing the very lines traditional bettors rely on. Both fall under the pre-game umbrella, but structurally and behaviorally, they’re worlds apart. That division may become even more critical as sportsbook countermeasures evolve.
Love where this is going—excited to see you build on it.
It is even stronger in parimutuel wagering situations where you can live off of rebates - simply breaking even on the plays. If the take-outs or holds are mandated lower - so many of the issues disappear. The antidote to issues caused by greed is always normally common sense.
Really thoughtful piece—this kind of segmentation is overdue and your framing around user motivation is sharp. One note I’d offer the “Traditional” market is actually two distinct categories in practice. The AI/ML syndicate space operates on entirely different timelines, inputs, and intents than the classic value bettor working CLV angles. Syndicates aren’t value-seeking—they’re exploiting inefficiencies at scale with programmatic execution, often influencing the very lines traditional bettors rely on. Both fall under the pre-game umbrella, but structurally and behaviorally, they’re worlds apart. That division may become even more critical as sportsbook countermeasures evolve.
Love where this is going—excited to see you build on it.
It is even stronger in parimutuel wagering situations where you can live off of rebates - simply breaking even on the plays. If the take-outs or holds are mandated lower - so many of the issues disappear. The antidote to issues caused by greed is always normally common sense.